1. Longshire was founded in early 2017. How has the portfolio and the investment process performed since?
Again we have had a fortunate year and a sizeable amount of luck. In February 2020 we moved the portfolio to >75% in cash. As the market presented opportunities we moved back to <5% cash in late March. From there, the market expanded by more than 50%, contributing to a more than doubling of the portfolio in 2020. Before the 4-year mark the capital has more than quadrupled, measured net of all cost in USD (and in NOK). While these outsized results are surprising, four short years are too short a timeframe to conclude on the quality of the process and if there are any skills involved. The markets have performed well above long-term average in the period. We were lucky in the short drawdown in March 2020. The next sizeable drawdown will be more telling as to whether we are onto something. What we do know at this point is that these return levels are completely unsustainable over the long run.
2. Does Longshire only invest in stocks?
Yes, the portfolio is stock only. No shorting, no hedging, no leverage. Just owning quality companies for the long run. From time to time, the portfolio may hold cash because of unattractive market pricing of its potential targets. At the end of 2020, less than 2% of the portfolio was in cash.
3. Why do you hold shares for the long term?
The intention to hold onto the ownership of a company for a long time force you to think through if a company can sustain its quality over time. Imagining that the holding may last “forever” will assist in the decision process. It also encourages taking a long-term view on the development of the company. Will this company thrive the next 10+ years? A positive side-effect for the portfolio is ultralow turnover, leading to lower cost.
4. What is the typical holding period?
The favorite holding period is forever. We will typically see holding periods of 3-10 years, and preferably longer.
5. Why are you looking for ‘quality businesses’?
Quality businesses tend to outperform the averages over the long run. Further, quality businesses give better downside protection in periods with contracting market prices. We have found that it yields better results to hold a select few quality companies over the long run, as opposed to trying to pick “winners” over short 1-3 year timespans.
6. What kind of companies will typically be in the portfolio?
Global, large and growing companies listed on the major stock exchanges in industrialized countries. We focus on companies listed in North America and Europe. More than half of the portfolio will typically be in the S&P 500. At the end of 2020, about 70% of our holdings are within the 50 largest companies on the S&P 500.
7. What is your thinking on ESG?
We are hardliners on Environmental, Social and corporate Governance (ESG) and follow strict standards. This follows naturally from our long-term investment style, as Non-ESG is a huge long-term business risk in our view. At the base level, we avoid any company excluded by the Council of Ethics in the Norwegian Global Pension Fund. Their guidelines can be found here: Etikkradet. These guidelines exclude companies in product areas such as weapons, tobacco or coal, as well as violators within human rights, environmental damage and corruption. If Norway does not invest in it, then we certainly will not either. Over and above these guidelines, we further exclude a number of companies and industries, such as airlines, defense, breweries/wine/spirits, casinos and gambling, non-renewable energy, mining and metals, oil/gas/carbons, porn, tobacco and cannabis. Avoiding these companies makes us sleep well, and we find that we do not need to own any of them in order to enjoy satisfactory returns.
8. How concentrated is the portfolio?
Following the lead from Warren Buffett, Charlie Munger and other successful investors, we aim for our 3 largest holdings to be well above 50% of the portfolio. In our strict definition, there are few exceptional quality companies out there. Because of the rarity, should we get a chance to buy one at a fair price, we buy a sizeable amount. We would normally target between 10-40% of the portfolio for a new entry. Over time, as we hold our companies, the best ones will compound their way to the top of the list. Limiting this effect does not make any sense to us.
9. Will you invest in small companies?
We are not actively researching small companies. In fact, we exclude more than 80% of all listed stocks even before we start our process. This may sound strange, given that our small portfolio size could potentially give us an edge compared to portfolios working with larger sums. However, we have actively decided to build a robust investment model and process that could scale to very, very large portfolios.
Our ideal company will have a history over decades and has shown its merit and resilience over many business cycles. Because of the compounding effect over all these years, these companies tend not to be small anymore. We would prefer them to be small to have a long runway in front of them, but mostly they are not.
10. You discuss the merits of ‘quality investing’. However, there are a lot a paraphrasing and references to Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger on this site. I was of the impression that they favored ‘value investing’?
We are not huge fans of qualifying ‘investing’ with any label, be it ‘value’ or ‘quality’. In fact, a better qualifier would probably be ‘intelligent investing’. Warren Buffett is a fantastic investor only matched by his abilities as an educator. However, ‘value investing’ in the Benjamin Graham sense was something Warren Buffett did in the 1950-ies and 60-ies. Starting in the 70-ies he gradually started to invest in quality businesses. Warren has attributed this change to Charlie Munger.
11. Do you favor specific industries or sectors?
There are companies and industries that we exclude at the outset and will not invest in as we believe it is unethical (pt. 7 on ESG) and/or the business risk is too high. If the business in our view is not part in bringing our planet to a better state, we will not invest. Some industries are over-represented when identifying quality businesses, and some are heavily under-represented. An ideal candidate will have a sizeable economic moat with an innovation engine to protect and extend that moat, as well as a large market to scale in.
12. You are a Norwegian investment company. Will Norwegian or Nordic companies be favored?
No. Norway and the Nordics are relatively small countries with relatively few companies that will meet the selection criteria. More than half of the companies will usually be from the S&P 500, with the rest typically listed in major European countries. Companies listed in developing countries will typically not be in the portfolio. However, because the ideal portfolio candidate is a global company, most of the portfolio companies will have substantial business and growth opportunity in developing markets, and hence exposure to developing markets.
13. Why do you use English on this site when you are based in Norway?
Quality investing is a relatively small niche in the global investment community, and Norway is a small country. We use English to reach a wider audience of fellow investors. English is the lingua franca of investing, and well above 90% of Norwegians speak English as their second language.
14. Tell us more about Norway. Since your country is so small, do you even have a financial industry there?
While Norway is a small country, we still have one of the largest sovereign funds in the world. The fund holds about 1.5% of the market value of all of the world's listed companies.
15. I’ve heard Norway is beautiful. Where can I find more information?
Yes, Norway is beautiful. You will find resources and nice pictures at www.visitnorway.com.
16. Is the portfolio open to outside investors?
Longshire will remain closed for outside investors. Should we decide to open for outside investing this will be done with a purpose-built, separate structure.
17. Do you have any open positions?
We have no open positions.
18. I have written a paper or thesis or done some research on quality investing. Would you like to read it?
Yes, please. Any researcher into this topic is a friend of the house.
19. Are you open to present your thinking on quality investing to our organization or at our event?
Send an e-mail to discuss. One of our purposes is discussing investing at large and 'quality investing' in particular.
20. What are the contact details?
Please use 'enquiry at longshire dot com'. Beware that we do not have any staff to serve requests and this will impact response times.
21. Can you tell us something more about the founder?
Before setting up Longshire, Morten Løhre served in business development and management roles in the Global Outsourcing and Technology industry, including 11 years with companies on the Global 500 and Fortune 500. He holds a graduate degree in Finance and Economics from the Norwegian School of Economics (Siviløkonom NHH).
22. Can you please send me some more specific information?
No other information is publicly available at this point. Meanwhile, we kindly encourage you to follow us on Twitter:
The content on this site is for personal educational purposes only and does not under any circumstances serve as investment advice. The company is not in the business to sell you anything, and this site is free of tracking and advertising. Before you invest any of your hard-earned money in anything you should educate yourself or seek professional advice. If your temperament can not sustain that your assets with high certainty will drop significantly in market value at irregular intervals you should not invest directly in the stock market. The company is not liable for any losses or suffering experienced by any party.
The information on this site is copyright © 2017-2021 Longshire AS. The company is registered in the Register of Business Enterprises (Foretaksregisteret), Norway, with Business Registration Number NO 918 632 050. Longshire LEI is 5493000877IOSUYCOA68.